Friday, March 01, 2019

How to Get Through College Without Drowning in Student Debt [iii]

To get where you want to go, you need a plan, a vehicle, a mentor or guide, and the willingness to get out and push.
Many people graduate university with enough debt to buy this nice starter house in Cameron, TX. Now add the stress of finding a job and starting a career so that you can begin to repay that debt. There has to be a better way!Starting with no educational debt, the roofers on this job stand a better chance of achieving financial independence than many debt-ridden college graduates.
This post originally appeared on the Hermit Haus Redevelopment website on 2019-02-22.

Part III: Pay for Your Education Without Sacrificing Your Future

One of my younger friends once told me a staggering truth while recovering from the party to celebrate his graduation from the University of Texas. “Yesterday, I knew who I was,” he began. “I was a college student with a 3.7 GPA. I lived in a dorm and had a meal plan. This morning I’m homeless and unemployed.”
Being homeless, unemployed, and facing a mountain of debt with no real hope of ever paying it off is not an uncommon situation in this country.
Unless you are born to wealth, there are only a few options to obtain a degree without also acquiring ridiculous amounts of debt. The most obvious way is to work and pay as you go. That’s what I did. I graduated with honors from both my undergraduate and graduate programs without debt by working full-time while being a part-time student.

Here’s How I Did It

Just as you wouldn’t start a construction project or a reno without detailed construction, financing, and contingency plans, you shouldn’t start your education without detailed career, financing, and contingency plans.
At the beginning of each semester, I would sign up for two or three classes in my degree plan and put the tuition on my credit card. During adds-and-drops, I would get the syllabus for the classes and determine the difficulty (and time requirement) of each class. If I judged I could successfully complete the courses without endangering my job or family life, I would buy the books (also on my credit card) and do the work—both the class work and the jobby job work.
If the task of working and schooling appeared too daunting, I would determine which class (or classes) to drop to ensure my academic success, hopefully before the university started assessing a fee for partial completion. I always made this decision before the deadline to withdraw passing.
As the semester progressed, I would pay off the credit card. This strategy is one of the only times I would consider credit card debt to be "good debt."
If something came up at work (like getting sent to Panamá for ten weeks) I would cope the best I could. Sometimes, I would have to withdraw (passing) from a course. If it turned out I had misjudged the difficulty of the course or courses I was pursuing, I would have to decide it I could slug it out or if I would have to drop a course. Sometimes this decision was overshadowed by how often the course was offered and the competition to even get in. I only took electives that really interested me and would advance my career.
At the end of the semester, I would check off the course(s) successfully completed on my degree plan and start planning the next semester. Sometimes, I would not have been able to pay off my credit card, which would limit or eliminate the number of courses I could attempt the next semester. Sometimes, my employer would reimburse or partially reimburse my expenses for courses that directly applied to my jobby job.
Employer educational benefits are the secret advantage of working while you pursue your degree: your employers want you to succeed and most will help you do so financially! After all, a better-educated, better-qualified employee is in your employer’s best interest.

All It Takes Is Time

By paying as you go, you control the Cost of your education but may sacrifice Speed. But I believe the smaller course load I attempted each semester increased the Quality of my education by enabling me to pay more attention to what I was learning.
This approach was not without cost. It took me ten years to get by bachelor’s degree (normally a four-year degree) and four years to get my master’s (normally a two-year degree). This meant that any degree-related career advancement was also deferred. And neither could I benefit from many of the social aspects of university life because I had to run home to family and jobby job. [But, honestly, I am a hermit. The social aspects of university life never appealed to me.]
On the other hand, I graduated with real-life experience that increased my value in the work place and ensured I could work in the field I had chosen to study. My initial plan to be a psychologist was derailed by the economic realities of that profession just as much as my plans to be a professional musician. And keeping grounded in the working world kept me from the horrors I’ve seen of hopelessly lost academics who charged straight through to a doctorate with no grounding in how the world actually works.

What Matters to You?

Like all the “advice” I give, my version of the pay-as-you-go approach to education worked for me. It may not work for you.
Only you can decide if graduating without a significant debt load is more important than the future value of the overall university experience. No decision is without sacrifice. No plan is right for everyone.

Tuesday, December 04, 2018

Deciding If an Opportunity Is Right for You

Not all decisions are binary. Although the decision to invest or not is binary, the question really boils down to, “Is this the right investment for me right now?”
This post originally appeared on the Hermit Haus Redevelopment website on 2018-11-27.
Your reason for investing should drive the type(s) of investment(s) you invest in. To oversimplify a bit, there are two investment strategies: building wealth and creating income. In the real world, these two strategies are not mutually exclusive. Where you are in life will influence your strategic choice.
Let’s look at an example rental house that requires no initial out of pocket investment. We’ll assume the debt on this property covers the initial renovation and all the costs of acquisition. We’ll even assume the house provides positive cash flow from the time it’s rentable—$50 each month after allowances for debt service, taxes, insurance, vacancy, maintenance, and capital replacement (big ticket items like HVAC units that can’t be expensed off in one year).

Multiple Perspectives

Here are a few ways to look at this opportunity:

Saturday, December 01, 2018

What’s the Difference Between Distress and Motivation?

This whole village is for sale in New Zealand! If you have almost $2-million available, have friends in New Zealand, and love the views as much as I do, this village may be the right investment for you. Check out the listing on OneAgency. They have lots more exciting pix. Photo by: OneAgency
This post originally appeared on the Hermit Haus Redevelopment website on 2018-11-19.
You know we’re always looking for our next redevelopment opportunity. We’ve talked about distressed properties and the opportunities they present if you can look past their challenges. I’ve also talked about how the numbers have to make sense and we buy only a small percentage of the distressed properties we look at.
Why is that?
A distressed property is only one indication of what may be a motivated seller. The level of seller motivation rather than the level of property distress is the real driver of what makes a property we can buy.
Some of the things that may motivate an owner to sell include:
  • Physical distress arising from deferred maintenance or the inability to pay for needed repairs
  • Lack of interest in an inherited property or a second home the seller just doesn’t want to deal with
  • Landlord fatigue that comes from not understanding how to manage rental properties and tenants or when the landlord moves away
  • Financial distress arising form health problems, job loss, or financial mismanagement
In any of those cases we can help the seller overcome a (hopefully) temporary problem by buying their property and taking on the headaches they can’t or don’t want to deal with.
One of the challenges in our business is understanding the difference between distress and motivation. This article is one of the best example examples of how to tell the difference between distress and motivation. Here are a few salient facts if you don’t want to read the original article:
  • An entire village near Lake Waitaki in New Zealand is for sale with an asking price of $1.8-million.
  • Once home to almost 3,000 people, it has been “mostly vacant” for almost 30 years.
  • In 1995, the village was awarded historically protected state to prevent its demolition.
  • The current owners bought the village in 2011 to use as a corporate retreat center.
  • When those plans failed, they put the it back on the market in 2015, but it has not sold as of this writing.
  • Recent changes to New Zealand laws prohibit foreign investors from buying homes, limiting the pool of potential buyers for this property.
So far, that sounds like a classic distressed property, even without considering the condition of the homes and the lodge it comprises. I know I would be motivated to sell if I had almost $2-million tied up in an investment that generated no income and had been on the market for three years.
But is the current owner motivated?
“It’s simply a matter of waiting for a person to pay the price we are looking for,” is the definition of an unmotivated seller?
So, no. Even though Suna and I have discussed eventually retiring in New Zealand, we would have to walk away from this property.

Saturday, October 13, 2018

I’m Making Them Birds

While you can't just paint over all your mistakes or confusion, you can choose how you let them affect your mindset. Photo by Suna
This post originally appeared on the Hermit Haus Redevelopment website on 2018-10-06 .
Starting with Why: Every day in business, you encounter things that annoy, frustrate, or confuse you. I wanted to talk about how I've chosen to accept some of the things I cannot change.
One of the more frustrating points about running a business is that you can either know what it’s really worth or keep accurate books for taxes. And never the twain shall meet.
Businesses are punished on their balance sheets for being good negotiators. At the same time, they are required to take totally fallacious “expenses” while being forbidden from taking real ones. Here’s a few examples:
  • Cost basis
  • Depreciation
  • Capitalized expenses

Cost Basis

We recently bought an asset from a motivated seller for much less than its appraised value. We got our loan based on the appraised value, but we are required to book the building at the purchase price. As Zacks explains:
Under corporate accounting standards, when a company acquires an asset, it puts that asset on its balance sheet with a value equal to its "historical cost" – what the company paid for it. If it's a fixed asset with a limited lifespan, such as a building or a piece of equipment, the company gradually depreciates that asset over time, which reduces its balance sheet value. Even if the company has good reason to believe that an asset has risen in value, it still cannot increase that asset's "book value," the value reported on the balance sheet.
So we have a $120-thousand building we have to book as an $80-thousand asset. And we have an $85-thousand loan against that asset. So our books show us with $5-thousand of negative equity instead of $15-thousand it positive equity. Our books show us making a stupid purchasing decision instead of a really good one.

Depreciation

Now factor in depreciation. Nobody doubts that assets (be they machines or real estate) eventually wear out. Rather than qualifying that wearing out, businesses are required to take what I like to call “stylized depreciation.” (“Stylized” sounds so much better than “fictional.” Doesn’t it?) I think the real term is “standard depreciation.”
The IRS assumes a 39 year life for commercial buildings and a 27.5 year life for residential rentals. For the asset I mentioned above, we’re required to write down 1/30 (2.654%) of the $74-thousand valuation of the building—not the land—every year until we eventually show no value for the asset except the cost of the raw land at purchase. And remember depreciation affects value. So our building will be worth about $1,900 less every year. It will show negative equity for 10 to 15 years.
We must really suck at business! We don't, but that's the story our books will continue to tell about this building.
The only good thing I have to say about depreciation is that it also reduces my net taxable income. Maybe not as much as my actual expenses would if they were not capitalized, but every little bit helps.

Capitalized Expenses

Capitalized expenses are pretty much what they sound like—expenses businesses are required to show as assets. Sometimes that makes sense. One of the first things we’re going to do with our new building is to spend about $6K on a new HVAC system. That’s money we have to spend (an expense) but it also pays for an asset that should last a few years—probably longer than its depreciation period. That means it increases the value of our building until it doesn’t. (I don’t know how long that is, which is why we pay a good CPA firm lots of money every year. Luckily, I think that counts as an expense.)
But sometimes it doesn’t make sense to capitalize expense. All or the settlement costs, including legal fees, we paid to buy that building are capitalized. We spent the money on a one-time service with no ongoing value, but nope! That’s an asset, not an expense.
All these (and other) factors encourage businesses to churn their holdings. If you hold a building long enough, it looks like you are broke no matter how much the building is actually worth. But if you churn your holdings, you can make it look like your business is growing, even if you pay too much.
As I write this post, I’m wearing a T-shirt with a picture of Bob Ross painting. The caption talks about repainting mistakes to make them into birds. So rather than get all “Back in Black” about these accounting idiosyncrasies that make it so hard to know how well my businesses are doing, I’m making them birds. I like birds. Birds make sense.

Saturday, June 30, 2018

Solving Problems

Finger pointing into the distance My mom used to say, "When you point at someone else, you have three fingers pointing back at you." That's the best argument for an internal locus of control I've ever heard.
This post originally appeared on the Hermit Haus Redevelopment website on 2018-06-23.
Do you ever feel that the universe is conspiring against you? No matter what happens, something goes wrong so that it doesn't work out the way you want?
Every now and then, we all encounter situations like this. How we react to them is usually based on what psychologists call "locus of control."
People with a strongly internal locus of control:
  • Believe they are fully in charge of their destiny
  • Take responsibility for their actions and mistakes
  • Actively take corrective actions
People with a strongly external locus of control believe that their fate is in the hands of fate (or something else). The events in their lives "just happen to them."
Most of us fall somewhere along the line between these two extremes.
Right now, we have a contractor we are having a lot of trouble getting paid. Our goal is to pay our contractors fairly and quickly on completion of the job. We've sent two checks to this contractor, both of which have gotten lost in the mail. (He's in a distant city, and the work was done on one of our investment properties there.) He did his work promptly and well. We tried to pay quickly, but....
Last night we tried to wire the money to him, but his bank rejected the transfer. We have verified all of the information twice, even three or four times now.
I have a very internal locus of control, but I'm starting to feel that this situation is out of my hands.
What would you do to resolve this problem?

Monday, June 25, 2018

The Waiting Game

Markets don't always rise When you’re not confident the market will continue to rise, it’s better to be cautious about acquisitions. What do you think the future holds?
This post originally appeared on the Hermit Haus Redevelopment website on 2018-06-18.
I’m back.
I haven’t posted anything for a while, mainly because I haven’t felt like I had anything constructive to say. You see, we’ve been selling off our inventory, as Suna and been talking about. But we haven’t been buying anything. Not since December.
Other people were buying things, but we kept walking away without buying or letting other people out bid us. That made me feel as if it were my fault. I must have been doing something wrong.
But I wasn’t.
You see, the only thing worse than no deal is a bad deal, and bad deals are all we’ve been encountering for the past few months. And I’m not the only one.
According to Sovereignman, Warren Buffet has been going through the same dry spell.
So… here is the most successful investor in modern history who:
  1. Didn’t buy anything in 2017;
  2. Is stockpiling a mountain of cash;
  3. Is now selling an asset that he would typically hold forever, because another company made an absurdly high offer for the business
...[I]t seems pretty clear from Buffett’s actions that it might be a good time to take some money off the table and wait patiently for the compelling opportunities yet to come.
Buffet himself has noted that he walks away from more than 100 “opportunities” for each deal he closes.
That got me thinking about my friend Shenoah Grove who points out that the Austin market is now almost ten years into our five year business cycle. And even though the market doesn’t show any signs of slowing down, you have to worry if it is too hot.
Following Buffet’s lead, I think it’s time to wait for deals that are so compelling that they’ll fund themselves or make money even if the market turns down. We may even have some of those on the horizon.
Stay tuned. Or better yet, help us find a really good deal. We believe in sharing the wealth.

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Predicting the Real Estate Market

1. Basic Industrial Development; 2. Support Industries; 3. Residential Development; 4. Retail Development Economic Base Theory holds that basic industries and support industries are requisite for the population growth that spurs residential and retail development.
This post originally appeared on the Hermit Haus Redevelopment website on 2016-02-12.

When I wasn’t watching the rat race or helping prepare for the educational events at the Dallas conference this week, I was taking notes on what the speakers were saying. My biggest takeaway was to learn about economic base theory (EBT). Economist Robert Murray Haig first put forward the theory in 1928. It essentially says that jobs lead the economy both when it is getting stronger and when it is getting weaker. This is something that we all have intuited, but it was good to have this feeling stated overtly and have the underlying science behind it explained.

I won’t go into all that, but I do want to provide the sequence and define some of the terms used in the theory.

EBT holds that development happens in a specific order for specific reasons.

The Texas Medical Center in Houston In Houston, the Medical Center has become a basic industry, providing more hospital services than the local economy consumes. People come from around the world. Photo source: Wikipedia
1. Basic industrial development
A basic industry generates more of a “product” that is required by the local economy. The surplus is exported. Exporting creates more jobs than the local economy would otherwise support. Basic industries create jobs beyond what the local economy would generate without them.
The important thing to remember is that manufacturing is only one type of exportable industry. In Orlando, tourism is a basic industry. In Omaha, it’s insurance. Real estate is not a basic industry because it can’t be exported, but real estate education can be. For most of our history, agriculture was a basic industry.
2. Support industries
Support industries such as accounting and consulting move in once the basic industry grows to the point where it becomes able to outsource these functions more efficiently than it can perform them in-house. Support industries equate to even more job creation.
Churchill Square Apartments in Corpus Christi Industrial development brings in jobs at all pay grades. Some of the new people will demand single-family homes of various prices. Others will drive demand for multifamily development. If you’re going to invest in real estate, you must understand the basic industries that support the real estate market where you work.
3. Residential development
The basic and support industrial job growth create demand for additional housing once they have demonstrated that the jobs are there to stay (whatever that means). Workers like to live near where they work.
4. Retail development
As families move into the area to take advantage of the job growth, they need to buy things. Again, most consumers prefer not to travel very far to buy groceries or clothing.
In rural areas, the school district often is the largest employer. Education is like retail in that it depends on the strength of the local economy to survive. If the basic industry goes away, both retail and education will have to downsize and may eventually become completely unsupportable.
Finally, the advent of internet commerce slows down the demand for retail development and speeds up the deterioration of the retail market if a basic industry moves out without replacement. In fact, you may now see demand for retail space decrease even in a stable economy.

This model can help predict the direction a real estate market will move. It is not 100% predictive because the real estate market is imperfect in that everyone is working with incomplete information, each individual property—single family, multifamily, commercial, or industrial—is unique, and a single seller controls the availability of each property. Nevertheless, we all need to understand the direction our local economies, and therefore our local real estate markets, are moving.

 

Tuesday, February 06, 2018

Pre Event Report

Album Cover Illusions on a Double Dimple Photo source: Amazon
Ben, the two of us need look no more
We both found what we’ve been looking for

—Don Black

Weather or Not

I made it to Frisco after taking almost four hours for what should’ve been a 2.5 hour drive, according to The Googles. Waco was probably the most interesting part of the drive. I had to go through a thunderstorm that was like driving through a tropical storm. There were times I couldn’t see the car in front of me, even though the traffic on I-35. It slowed to almost 35 miles an hour.
By the time I made it to the north side of Waco, I had driven out of the rain. The roads were not dry, and the sky looked like it could start to pour again at any second. But it had still been free of the rain long enough for the automatic windshield wipers to stop for a couple of minutes. Then my phone went off in panic mode. “Warning! Warning! Warning! Severe thunderstorm warning for the next 18 minutes. Really helpful, Siri.”
So anyway I managed to get to the event and get checked in to help with the event. My job tonight was to attach badge holders to the end of lanyards, and I did a few hundred of those. Then we broke for the evening and I went to the other hotel because I hadn’t been able to get booked at the Hilton tonight.
I got checked in at the other hotel, which shall remain nameless for reasons you shall see. I went up to the room and found it to be very very nice, if not worth the price that I’m having to pay for it. But that’s what happens when you go to a conference and have to get a hotel in a downtown area.
Sleeping gray rats Rats have their place in nature and science. We don’t have to worry too much about them at the Hermits’ Rest Ranch because we have three dogs and numerous wild raptors who all love rats. Photo source: The Scientist

Ratatouille

By that time, I was hungry for dinner. I went downstairs to the restaurant, and it’s pretty nice and reasonably priced—for a hotel. The waitress was really personable and made me laugh. She took my order and went away. While I was waiting for my food to come out a fairly large gray rat scampered across the restaurant in front of me. I was tired, so I rubed my eyes thinking, “Did I really just see a rat run across the restaurant?”
About the time I convinced myself that I didn’t see what I saw, the rat ran back across the other direction. So when the waitress came by with my drink and to take my order, I told her, “By the way you might want to tell your manager I just saw a rat run across there.” When she realized I was serious, she burst out laughing, “Oh no. Now I have to set traps for it.”
She then left to get my drink refill, and I heard the guys in the bar laughing all the way across the hotel. Mind you, it wasn’t really empty in the restaurant, just slow. Like you expect from a hotel restaurant on a Monday night.
She came back and told me that she told the guys in the bar, and they were having a good time about it. She also told me she poured my second drink so it would be comped. Then she left to check on my order and the rat made the third appearance. I told the waitress about this when she came back, and she told the manager who reiterated that she had to set traps for it now.
Everything was settling down when the waitress went to get my food. She came back and she was laughing so hard she could hardly walk. She said the rat had made it to the kitchen and the three big burly guys in there were all up on the counter yelling that “there’s a bunch of them on the floor and there’s only one.” She says, “Frederico says, ‘He’s been here a long time. He is gray. He’s got lots of gray hair.’ I couldn’t convince him that they’re all gray.”
She and I talked for a long time about how she ended up here and things we have in common. Her husband is a national record producer, and they live in Junction. She came up here to open the hotel and his ended up staying for almost 7 years. I told her that I spent 10 years on a three month contract once. This was a very enjoyable and to what had been a stressful then boring day.
Find your hope and laughter where you can.
Because I was unable to write much this week, Suna adapted this post for republication on the Hermit Haus site on 2018-02-09.

 

Friday, February 02, 2018

Fortune Cookie Humor

A fortune cookie
If your friend wants to learn to drive, don’t stand in the way.

For the first time in a long, long time, I got a funny fortune cookie.


Sunday, January 28, 2018

Dream About Missing the Old Office

Zombie image source: Fun Lover What doesn’t kill you
often makes you wish it had.

I am posting this much later than it is dated while going through some old journals. I list the souces as a dream about one of my least favorite parts of the corporate world. Apparently, it left lasting scars.

SELF
I’m going down to the crapateria to grab a bite.

OTHER
That won’t…

SELF
Kill me?

OTHER
No, but it will make you suffer.

SELF
That will have to do.