Friday, June 17, 2016

Another One Bites the Dust

Failure to do your own due diligence is a trap that can reduce your profits to single digits or even to a loss. Photo by Free Images
This post originally appeared on the Hermit Haus Redevelopment website on 2016-06-10.
 
And another one gone, and another one gone
Another one bites the dust

—John Deacon

We had to back out of another wholesale deal today, even though the numbers looked pretty good at first blush. I’ll call the wholesaler Dick for this post. You have to be really careful when dealing with professional wholesalers. They know the business well enough to know what you are looking for, and they can make the numbers look good—often by inflating the after repair value (ARV) or underestimating the cost of repairs. You have to do your own due diligence and trust your own numbers.
In this case, Dick was going to make enough money on the deal to require a double-close. That is where the wholesaler actually takes title at one closing and then sells the property to the wholesale buyer at another closing. These two closings can take place minutes apart, enabling the wholesaler to make a tidy profit in a very short time without disclosing the amount of that profit to either the original seller or the wholesale buyer.
Because a double-closing incurs two sets of closing costs—one when the wholesaler purchases the property and another at the sale—this exit strategy is generally only viable when the profit on the wholesale is at least $20,000. Now you may say that’s a lot of money.
Why wouldn’t I have a problem knowing the wholesaler is making at least $20,000? Because it all comes down to the numbers. If there is still room for me to make a reasonable profit, I don’t care how much the wholesaler makes. Dick found the deal, after all. If he hadn’t found the deal and sold it to Hermit Haus, we wouldn’t make any money at all. And 30% of something is better than 100% of nothing.
Hail damaged shingles can be difficult to spot unless you climb up on the roof yourself or hire an inspector to do so. Photo by Home Standards Inspection
In this case, the numbers worked only on the surface, and this is another reason why I recommend hiring an inspector on every house you buy. The inspector’s job is to find hidden problems. In this case, the problem wasn’t so much hidden as missed. The roof looked fine: 30-year architectural asphalt shingles in reasonably good condition to my eyes. But the inspector found signs of hail damage, which would require replacing the roof before any bank would finance it for the new seller.
The estimated cost of the roof was about $10,000. That would move the deal from a fairly reasonable profit range to the danger zone. There would be no contingency repair budget left, given the ARV. We have learned to never go into a deal without a contingency budget of at least 10% of the repair estimate. We could be placed in a position of either having to cut corners or lose money, neither of which is in our vocabulary.
When confronted with the bit about the roof, Dick said, “That’s a good roof. I don’t have to replace it. Nobody can make me replace it.” We all agreed. But there are two things to consider:
  1. A new roof is the single best investment you can make in a property. It relieves new buyers of an expensive contingency to their purchase, making them feel safer about the purchase.
  2. And while banks don’t require a new roof to finance a property, they do require an undamaged one. If you want to sell a house with a damaged roof, you had better fix it.
Since we couldn’t come to terms with Dick about the roof, we backed out of the purchase during the option period. It’s not that I expected him to replace it; I simply needed to have room in the deal to replace it myself.
Replacing the roof was the right thing to do. I believe in doing the right thing. In this case, scrubbing the deal was the right thing for us to do. We could have gone forward if we could renegotiate the purchase price downward to account for the unforeseen cost, but that didn’t happen. And Dick may still be able to sell the house to an inexperienced, unsuspecting purchaser, but we won’t be put in the position of choosing between taking advantage of someone or losing money.

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