Monday, October 21, 2019

Just Be Careful

A Ponzi scheme uses the investments of later participants to fake profits to earlier ones. Sooner or later, all Ponzi schemes collapse from their inability to generate enough new investment to pay older investors.
This post originally appeared on the Hermit Haus Redevelopment website on 2019-09-23.
There’s been a cautionary tale running around the news this week. It makes me think of something the Oracle of Omaha once said. “You cannot build a good career with bad people.” This statement has been interpreted as “You can’t make a good deal with bad people.”
I don’t know enough about Clayton Morris to make a value judgement on his character, although his career as an entertainer on Faux News does not earn him any brownie points in my book.
Morris left Faux News to form a turnkey investment company that buys, renovates, and manages rental properties for investors. There are a number of companies that do this job well, but you are always taking a big risk when you invest in a property you may never see.
I’ve linked to a short podcast that discusses the story. You can read more details in this NY Times story, which describes the numerous lawsuits against Morris—one in federal court.
Here’s the audio.
A couple of points:
  • Real Wealth Network, which produced the podcast, may compete with Morris in some markets. I can’t tell because Morris Invest does not list the markets in which he is active. Real Wealth does.
  • Being sued does not necessarily mean you have done anything wrong.
  • But leaving the country in the midst of a law suite does not inspire confidence.
Envato Image When you’re investing, failure to distinguish between fake data and facts can cost you big time. Celebrity is not the same thing as legitimate credentials. Photo Source: kenishirotie Licensed through Envato

Protecting Yourself

So, how do you know if you can trust the people you’re investing with. Ultimately, that’s something you can never be sure of, but there are a few things you can do.
Due Diligence
Due diligence is a legal term that simply means being careful. Before you invest, find out everything you can about the people you’re thinking about investing with. Just be careful.
Their Experience
Never risk your money with inexperienced people. Have they been in business long enough to establish a track record? Look for previous projects they have done. Were those projects completed on budget and done well?
The Investor Experience
What have other people experienced when investing with them? Talk to other people who have invested with them—anyone you can find, not just the ones they point you to. Have they paid off on time? Have they communicated well with their investors?
Character
This is the hardest part. Are they good people? I’m not asking if you like them. Con artists are very likable, and “superficial charm” is a trait of most psychopaths.
Their character trumps their experience. Are they good people? Do they contribute to society? Is helping others at the core of their mission? Do others trust them?
But the bottom line is that investing is risky. If you invest carefully, you can expect to make money more often than you lose it. If don’t learn everything you can about your investments, you’re not investing; you’re gambling.
Whether you’re investing or gambling, some advice my older brother a “professional gambler” once gave me still holds true. He said, “Don’t put any money on the table you wouldn’t set fire to and walk away from.” For investing, that boils down to “Don’t invest your rent and grocery money.”

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